Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 2.489561 2.873961 3.304327 3.823030 4.432799 5.128724 5.985804
2025-03-30 1.846201 2.333367 2.935817 3.740603 4.795028 6.139768 8.001016
2025-04-06 1.554902 2.087332 2.791178 3.799756 5.224309 7.188953 10.146104
2025-04-13 1.311062 1.844838 2.588416 3.715056 5.405510 7.890269 11.898689
2025-04-20 1.197713 1.757507 2.574770 3.877112 5.942092 9.161251 14.702014
2025-04-27 1.067140 1.622568 2.466495 3.870889 6.206823 10.040760 17.029271
2025-05-04 0.990576 1.557082 2.450746 4.000203 6.697866 11.350527 20.318360
2025-05-11 0.904262 1.463731 2.376106 4.016994 6.993573 12.363166 23.255520
2025-05-18 0.830095 1.380460 2.305957 4.028078 7.274424 13.384151 26.395830
2025-05-25 0.745578 1.269530 2.174643 3.910186 7.295397 13.912448 28.636607
2025-06-01 0.698426 1.218180 2.141059 3.966109 7.653659 15.151381 32.620949
2025-06-08 0.661595 1.180974 2.128004 4.057802 8.093730 16.624251 37.429173
2025-06-15 0.610234 1.118070 2.072246 4.083984 8.460424 18.133197 43.010430
2025-06-22 0.550689 1.034336 1.969480 4.006724 8.610970 19.240232 48.044778
2025-06-29 0.513854 0.989651 1.936717 4.069969 9.083648 21.191256 55.843218
2025-07-06 0.466695 0.918455 1.840527 3.978649 9.178854 22.245346 61.503216
2025-07-13 0.448441 0.904154 1.860902 4.153435 9.950700 25.195193 73.644929
2025-07-20 0.417047 0.858365 1.807480 4.146722 10.264656 27.002076 82.890830
2025-07-27 0.399780 0.840940 1.814245 4.286234 10.988927 30.126802 97.566154
2025-08-03 0.375512 0.805214 1.774897 4.304352 11.387935 32.407307 110.194261
2025-08-10 0.353140 0.771277 1.735515 4.316312 11.773253 34.746777 123.960211
2025-08-17 0.324515 0.719872 1.648496 4.189114 11.729400 35.723881 132.886613
2025-08-24 0.309204 0.698201 1.631318 4.249448 12.264180 38.746092 151.374915